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2024-12-14 03:15:21

Today's A-share rise is the compensatory trend of A50 futures index. Today's A50 futures index plummets, and tomorrow's A-share market will have a compensatory decline trend. We can observe the support level around 3380. If this position is supported, the market will be a slow decline trend. If it is not supported, it will be a rapid decline trend.The four gaps below the A-share market have been closed, and the countdown has entered. Today's trend is to draw a full stop for the 924 market. As for whether it is a rapid decline or a shock decline, this needs to be observed.Let's take a look at the A-share 924 market. Since then, there have been four gaps below the A-share market, which have not been covered. This makes some people say that gap theory is invalid and does not adapt to A-shares, which means that A-shares are invincible in the world, and the technical rules of the stock market that have existed for a hundred years are useless in A-shares, which shows that A-shares are strong. I think this is arrogance.


Today, the A50 futures index continued to fall, approaching the closing of A shares, and its decline was close to 4%, which was almost 90% of the total increase yesterday. It was precisely because of the continuous decline of the index that the A-share market also surged back today, and it was heavy, which basically confirmed that November 8 was the second highest point of the 924 market, and today's 3494 point was the third highest point. Technically speaking, today was a counter-draw to 3509 points, with a sharp correction at the end of the session.As mentioned above, from November 4 to 27, I have completed one long trap, and immediately started the second long trap on November 27, which has been running for 11 trading days. Today, the high point is 3494 points. This long trap has entered the stage of closing the net today. Whether it is to close the net quickly or cut the meat with a blunt knife depends on whether the A-share market can find support at 3380 points tomorrow.Let's take a look at the four gaps left by the 924 market: September 24, September 25, September 27 and September 30. Apart from the relatively small gap left on September 24, we can take a seat according to gap theory: September 25 is a breakthrough gap, September 27 is a persistent gap, and the gap left on September 30 is an all-out gap.


Gap theory has not failed, but the current trend of A-shares is no longer a normal market behavior. It creates a rise for the sake of rising, and there is no market to create a market, in order to let more retail investors enter the market.Because the shipment of big index stocks is still not ideal, the main force needs a steady stream of takers, so there is a long trap that was launched on November 4. After the completion, the second long trap was launched on November 27. This long trap should have ended last Friday. However, the main funds are unwilling, and they still have to ship.Since October, I have been saying that after the rapid rise of the A-share market, there will be a downward trend of shock, and the important trend lines and gaps below will be used by the main force to attract more, relying on these trend lines and gaps to lure retail investors to take over or hold shares. Just like 3400 points, it has been oscillating for two days, and today it is achieved by relying on big profits.

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